Pre 2012 journal articles

(Most recent are listed first).

[Email me for pdfs]

Buston, P. & Elith, J. (2011) Determinants of reproductive success in dominant pairs of clownfish: a boosted regression tree analysis. Journal of Animal Ecology, 80, 528-538.

Elith, J., Phillips, S.J., Hastie, T., Dudík, M., Chee, Y.E. & Yates, C.J. (2011) A statistical explanation of MaxEnt for ecologists. Diversity and Distributions, 17, 43-57.

Leathwick, J., Snelder, T.H., Chadderton, L., Julian, K., Elith, J. & Ferrier, S. (2011) Use of generalised dissimilarity modelling to improve the biological discrimination of river and stream classifications. Freshwater Biology, 56, 21-38.

Phillips, S.J. & Elith, J. (2011) Logistic methods for resource selection functions and presence-only species distribution models. Proceedings of the Twenty-Fifth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pp. 1384-1389. San Francisco, USA.

Read, C.F., Duncan, D.H., Vesk, P.A. & Elith, J. (2011) Surprisingly fast recovery of biological soil crusts following stocklivestock removal in southern Australia. Journal of Vegetation Science, 22, 905–916.

Robinson, L., Elith, J., Hobday, A.J., Pearson, R.G., Kendall, B.E., Possingham, H.P. & Richardson, A.J. (2011) Pushing the limits in marine species distribution modelling: lessons from the land present challenges and opportunities. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 20, 789-802.

Elith, J., Kearney, M. & Phillips, S.J. (2010) The art of modelling range-shifting species Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 1, 330-342.

Mokany, K., Richardson, A.J., Poloczanska, E., Ferrier, S., & CSIRO CAF Biodiversity Working Group (2010) Uniting marine and terrestrial modelling of biodiversity under climate change. Letter. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 25, 550-551.

Phillips, S.J. & Elith, J. (2010) POC-plots: calibrating species distribution models with presence-only data. Ecology, 91, 2476–2484.

Van Wilgen, N., Wilson, J.R.U., Elith, J., Wintle, B.A. & Richardson, D.M. (2010) Alien invaders and reptile traders: what drives the live animal trade in South Africa? Animal Conservation, 13 suppl 1, 24-32.

Yates, C., Elith, J., Latimer, A., Le Maitre, D.C., Midgley, G., Schurr, F.M. & West, A. (2010) Projecting climate change impacts on species distributions in megadiverse South African Cape and Southwest Australian Floristic Regions: Opportunities and challenges. Austral Ecology, 35, 374–391.

Yates, C., McNeill, A., Elith, J. & Midgley, G. (2010) Assessing the impacts of climate change and land transformation on Banksia in the South West Australian Floristic Region. Diversity and Distributions, 16, 187-201.

Elith, J. & Graham, C. (2009) Do they? How do they? WHY do they differ? — on finding reasons for differing performances of species distribution models.  Ecography, 32, 66-77.

Elith, J. & Leathwick, J.R. (2009) Species distribution models: ecological explanation and prediction across space and time. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution and Systematics, 40, 677-697.

Leathwick, J.R., Elith, J., Rowe, D. & Julian, K. (2009) Robust planning for restoring diadromous fish species in New Zealand’s lowland rivers and streams. New Zealand Journal of Marine & Freshwater Research, 43, 659–671.

Phillips, S.J., Dudík, M., Elith, J., Graham, C.H., Lehmann, A., Leathwick, J. & Ferrier, S. (2009) Sample selection bias and presence-only distribution models: implications for background and pseudo-absence data. Ecological Applications, 19, 181-197.

Ward, G., Hastie, T., Barry, S.C., Elith, J. & Leathwick, J.R. (2009) Presence-only data and the EM algorithm. Biometrics, 65, 554-563.

Elith, J., Leathwick, J.R. & Hastie, T. (2008) A working guide to boosted regression trees. Journal of Animal Ecology, 77, 802-813.

Graham, C.H., Elith, J., Hijmans, R.J., Guisan, A., Peterson, A.T. & Loiselle, B.A. (2008) The influence of spatial errors in species occurrence data used in distribution models. Journal of Applied Ecology, 45, 239-247.

Leathwick, J., Moilanen, A., Francis, M., Elith, J., Taylor, P., Julian, K., Hastie, T. & Duffy, C. (2008) Novel methods for the design and evaluation of marine protected areas in offshore waters. Conservation Letters, 1, 92-101.

Leathwick, J.R., Elith, J., Chadderton, L., Rowe, D. & Hastie, T. (2008) Dispersal, disturbance, and the contrasting biogeographies of New Zealand’s diadromous and non-diadromous fish species. Journal of Biogeography, 35, 1481–1497.

Moilanen, A., Leathwick, J.R. & Elith, J. (2008) A method for spatial freshwater conservation prioritization. Freshwater Biology, 53, 577–592.

Read, C.F., Duncan, D.H., Vesk, P.A. & Elith, J. (2008) Biological soil crust distribution is related to patterns of fragmentation and landuse in a dryland agricultural landscape of southern Australia. Landscape Ecology.

Elith, J. & Leathwick, J.R. (2007) Predicting species distributions from museum and herbarium records using multiresponse models fitted with multivariate adaptive regression splines. Diversity and Distributions, 13, 165-175.

Ferrier, S., Manion, G., Elith, J. & Richardson, K. (2007) Using generalised dissimilarity modelling to analyse and predict patterns of beta diversity in regional biodiversity assessment. Diversity and Distributions, 13, 252-264.

Guisan, A., Graham, C.H., Elith, J., Huettmann, F. & NCEAS Species Distribution Modelling Group (2007) Sensitivity of predictive species distribution models to change in grain size: insights from a multi-models experiment across five continents. Diversity and Distributions, 13, 332-340.

Guisan, A., Zimmermann, N.E., Elith, J., Graham, C.H. & Phillips, S.P., A.T. (2007) What matters for predicting the occurences of trees: techniques, data, or species’ characteristics? Ecological Monographs, 77, 615-530.

Barry, S.C. & Elith, J. (2006) Error and uncertainty in habitat models. Journal of Applied Ecology, 43, 413-423.

Elith, J., Graham, C.H., Anderson, R.P., Dudík, M., Ferrier, S., Guisan, A., Hijmans, R.J., Huettmann, F., Leathwick, J.R., Lehmann, A., Li, J., Lohmann, L.G., Loiselle, B.A., Manion, G., Moritz, C., Nakamura, M., Nakazawa, Y., Overton, J.M., Peterson, A.T., Phillips, S.J., Richardson, K.S., Scachetti-Pereira, R., Schapire, R.E., Soberón, J., Williams, S., Wisz, M.S. & Zimmermann, N.E. (2006) Novel methods improve prediction of species’ distributions from occurrence data. Ecography, 29, 129-151.

Leathwick, J.R., Elith, J., Francis, M.P., Hastie, T. & Taylor, P. (2006) Variation in demersal fish species richness in the oceans surrounding New Zealand: an analysis using boosted regression trees. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 321, 267-281.

Leathwick, J.R., Elith, J. & Hastie, T. (2006) Comparative performance of generalized additive models and multivariate adaptive regression splines for statistical modelling of species distributions. Ecological Modelling, 199, 188-196.

Moilanen, A., Runge, M.C., Elith, J., Tyre, D., Carmel, Y., Fegraus, E., Wintle, B., Burgman, M. & Ben-Haim, Y. (2006) Planning for robust reserve networks using uncertainty analysis. Ecological Modelling, 199, 115-124.

Moilanen, A., Wintle, B., Elith, J. & Burgman, M. (2006) Uncertainty analysis for regional-scale reserve selection. Conservation Biology, 20, 1688-1697.

Potts, J. & Elith, J. (2006) Comparing species abundance models. Ecological Modelling, 199, 153-163.

Burgman, M., Lindenmayer, D.B. & Elith, J. (2005) Managing landscapes for conservation under uncertainty. Ecology, 86, 2007-2017.

Elith, J., Ferrier, S., Huettmann, F. & Leathwick, J.R. (2005) The evaluation strip: a new and robust method for plotting predicted responses from species distribution models. Ecological Modelling, 186, 280-289.

Leathwick, J.R., Rowe, D., Richardson, J., Elith, J. & Hastie, T. (2005) Using multivariate adaptive regression splines to predict the distributions of New Zealand’s freshwater diadromous fish. Freshwater Biology, 50, 2034-2052.

Wilson, K.A., Westphal, M.I., Possingham, H.P. & Elith, J. (2005) Sensitivity of conservation planning to different approaches to using predicted species distribution data. Biological Conservation, 122, 99-112.

Wintle, B.A., Elith, J. & Potts, J. (2005) Fauna habitat modelling and mapping in an urbanising environment; A case study in the Lower Hunter Central Coast region of NSW. Austral Ecology, 30, 719-738.

Yamada, K., Elith, J., McCarthy, M.A. & Zerger, A. (2003) Eliciting and integrating expert knowledge for wildlife habitat modelling. Ecological Modelling, 165, 251-264.

Elith, J., Burgman, M.A. & Regan, H.M. (2002) Mapping epistemic uncertainties and vague concepts in predictions of species distribution. Ecological Modelling, 157, 313-329.

McCarthy, M.A. & Elith, J. (2002) Species mapping for conservation. Gap Analysis Bulletin, 11, 50-57 (