2012 onwards

(Most recent are listed first).

[Email me for pdfs]

Renner, I. W., J. Elith, A. Baddeley, W. Fithian, T. Hastie, S. Phillips, G. Popovic, and D. Warton. (2015 early view). Point process models for presence-only analysis — a review. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. [Abstract]

Guillera-Arroita, G., J. J. Lahoz-Monfort, J. Elith, A. Gordon, H. Kujala, P. E. Lentini, M. A. McCarthy, R. Tingley, and B. A. Wintle. (2015). Is my species distribution model fit for purpose? Matching data and models to applications. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 24, 276-292 [Abstract]

Fithian, W., J. Elith, T. Hastie, and D. Keith. (2014 early view). Bias Correction in Species Distribution Models: Pooling Survey and Collection Data for Multiple Species. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. [Abstract]

Read, C.F., Vesk, P.A., Duncan, D.H. & Elith, J. (2014) Rapid surveys of biological soil crusts: are morphogroups useful? Journal of Applied Ecology, 51, 1740-1749. [Abstract]

Merow, C., Smith, M.J., Edwards Jr, T.C., Guisan, A., McMahon, S.M., Normand, S., Thuiller, W., Wüest, R., Zimmermann, N.E. & Elith, J. (2014) What do we gain from simplicity versus complexity in species distribution models? Ecography, 37, 1267-1281. [Abstract]

Guillera-Arroita, G., Lahoz-Monfort, J.J. & Elith, J. (2014) Maxent is not a presence-absence method: a reply to Thibaud et al. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 5, 1192-1197. [Abstract]

Elith, J. (2014 accepted) Chapter 6: Predicting distributions of invasive species. Risk-based decisions for biological threats (ed. by T.R. Walshe, A. Robinson, M. Nunn and M.A. Burgman). Cambridge University Press. Chapter available now from arXiv, and citable as an arXiv document: http://arxiv.org/abs/1312.0851 

Keith, D.A., Mahony, M., Hines, H., Elith, J., Regan, T.J., Baumgartner, J.B., Hunter, D., Heard, G.W., Mitchell, N.J., Penman, T., Parris, K.M., Tracey, C., Scheele, B., Simpson, C.C., Tingley, R., West, M. & Akçakaya, H.R. (2014) Detecting Extinction Risk from Climate Change by IUCN Red List Criteria. Conservation Biology, 28, 810-819. [Abstract]

Keith, D.A., Elith, J. & Simpson, C.C. (2014) Predicting distribution changes of a mire ecosystem under future climates. Diversity and Distributions, 20, 440–454. [Abstract]

Phillips, S.J. & Elith, J. (2013) On estimating probability of presence from use-availability or presence-background data. Ecology, 94, 1409-1419. [Abstract]

Guisan, A., Tingley, R., Baumgartner, J.B., Naujokaitis-Lewis, I., Sutcliffe, P.R., Tulloch, A.I.T., Regan, T.J., Brotons, L., McDonald-Madden, E., Mantyka-Pringle, C., Martin, T.G., Rhodes, J.R., Maggini, R., Setterfield, S.A., Elith, J., Schwartz, M.W., Wintle, B.A., Broennimann, O., Austin, M., Ferrier, S., Kearney, M.R., Possingham, H.P. & Buckley, Y.M. (2013) Predicting species distributions for conservation decisions. Ecology Letters, 16, 1424–1435. [Abstract] – pdf free from this link, too.

Elith, J., Simpson, J., Hirsch, M. & Burgman, M.A. (2013) Taxonomic uncertainty and decision making for biosecurity: spatial models for myrtle/guava rust. Australasian Plant Pathology, 42, 43–51. [Abstract] – also this is a related publication: Elith, J., and M. A. Burgman. 2014. Reply to Kriticos et al. NeoBiota 23:95-99.

Elith, J. & Franklin, J. (2013) Species distribution modeling. Encyclopedia of Biodiversity, 2nd Edition (ed. by S.A. Levin), pp. 692-705. Academic Press, Waltham, MA. [Abstract]

Dormann, C.F., Elith, J., Bacher, S., Buchmann, C., Carl, G., Carré, G., Diekötter, T., García Marquéz, J., Gruber, B., Lafourcade, B., Leitão, P.J., Münkemüller, T., McClean, C., Osborne, P., Reineking, B., Schröder, B., Skidmore, A.K., Zurell, D. & Lautenbach, S. (2013) Collinearity: a review of methods to deal with it and a simulation study evaluating their performance. Ecography, 36, 27–46. Abstract] [Supplementary material from Carsten’s webpage]

Burgman, M.A., McCarthy, M.A., Robinson, A., Hester, S.M., McBride, M.F., Elith, J. & Panetta, F.D. (2013) Improving decisions for invasive species management: reformulation and extensions of the Panetta-Lawes eradication graph. Diversity and Distributions, 19, 603-607. [Abstract]

Zurell, D., Elith, J. & Schröder, B. (2012) Predicting to new environments: tools for visualizing model behaviour and impacts on mapped distributions. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 628-634. [Abstract]

Morán-Ordóñez, A., Suárez-Seoane, S., Elith, J., Calvo, L. & de Luis, E. (2012) Satellite surface reflectance improves habitat distribution mapping: a case study on heath and shrub formations in the Cantabrian Mountains (NW Spain). Diversity and Distributions, 18, 588-602. [Abstract]

Hill, M.P., Elith, J., MacFadyen, S., Umina, P.A. & Hoffmann, A.A. (2012) Understanding range shifts: using current and historical data to model the invasive redlegged earth mite, Halotydeus destructor. Diversity and Distributions, 18, 191-203. [Abstract]

Fordham, D.A., Akçakaya, H.R., Araújo, M.B., Elith, J., Keith, D., Pearson, R., Auld, T.D., Mellin, C., Morgan, J.W., Regan, T.J., Tozer, M., Watts, M.J., White, M., Wintle, B., Yates, C. & Brook, B.W. (2012) Plant extinction risk under climate change: are forecast range shifts alone a good indicator of species vulnerability to global warming? Global Change Biology, 18, 1357-1371. [Abstract]

Chee, Y. & Elith, J. (2012) Spatial data for modeling and management of freshwater ecosystems. International Journal of Geographic Information Science, 26 2123-2140. [Abstract]